Will I only use manifold for about 5 minutes each day until October.
9
170Ṁ586
resolved Oct 2
Resolved as
14%

Doesn't have to be exactly 5 minutes, the occasional 6 or 7 minute day is also ok.

I have already resolved multiple personal Goal markets against my own interests and lost quite a bit of mana in doing so, so I can probably be trusted to resolve this fairly.

I am not allowed to sell any of my YES shares or buy any NO shares.

It starts today on the 21.08.2023 and the first of october isn't included.

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Looking at your trading history yesterday, I'd say you definitely used it more than 10 minutes. Resolves no.

predictedYES

@RobertCousineau This will probably resolve NO, but I only traded on 10 markets yesterday, why are you so sure I used it more than 5 minutes?

predictedNO

@JustifieduseofFallibilism You made a bets during the following times (in some minutes, multiple):
15:23
15:26
15:27
15:28
15:29
15:31
15:43
15:45
15:55

That is bets in 9 separate specific minutes, which is more than the 6/7 your description allowed. Further, I'm pretty sure you weren't just using manifold in the minutes you made bets - it takes time to find good markets!

predictedYES

@RobertCousineau Good point. But when I look at the markets I bet on they were all pretty low effort markets, I might have only spend 20 seconds or so on. And often I am e.g., checking my emails and while something is loading I open manifold for 20 seconds place one trade and swich back to mail.
In general I think I only used manifold for a very little time each day so far, but I probably used it too much at least once, but I don't know for sure so, if I continue being this good, I will resolve to 10% or 20%.

predictedNO

@JustifieduseofFallibilism fair enough - you know you better than I know you.

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