What countries will make it to the 2022 FIFA World Cup Semi-finals?
43
Ṁ3.9kṀ4.9kresolved Dec 10
25%14%
Argentina
25%12%
France
25%8%
Morocco
25%5%
Croatia
0.1%Other
0.1%
Germany
0.5%
Spain
20%
Brazil
12%
England
0.0%
Mexico
18%
Portugal
0.0%
Uruguay
0.1%
Denmark
0.0%
Poland
0.1%
Belgium
10%
Netherlands
0.2%
Switzerland
0.0%
Senegal
0.1%
United States
0.1%
South Korea
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2022_FIFA_World_Cup_knockout_stage
I will select as answers the four countries that make it to Semi-finals.
Betting closes before the start of the Quarter-finals.
Notice that I will be selecting 4 teams as answers assigning 25% probability to each team. So you have to multiply probabilities here by 4 (25% means 100%) and divide possible profits by 4.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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@YairNeumann strong bet for Denmark, if you think that they will make to the semi finals, you probably also want to bet that they will make it to quarter finals:
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