Will Vaush ever match or surpass Destiny in YouTube views again? Timeframe is now until the end of 2023. | Manifold Markets

closes Jan 1, 2024

Will Vaush ever match or surpass Destiny in YouTube views again? Timeframe is now until the end of 2023.

13%

chance

1D

1W

1M

ALL

Main channels only.
https://socialblade.com/youtube/channel/UC1E-JS8L0j1Ei70D9VEFrPQ
https://socialblade.com/youtube/channel/UC554eY5jNUfDq3yDOJYirOQ
The metric used will be "video views for the last 30 days".
Market resolves if Vaush's channel matches or outpaces Destiny's anytime from today until the end of next year. If that doesn't happen, it will automatically close at the end of 2023.

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johnleoksis predicting NO at 14%

Comment hidden

Traders should be aware that John has just resolved one of their other markets incorrectly. They then started insulting and blaming any traders who pointed this out. Trade with caution.

For an estimate of how likely they are to resolve another market incorrectly in the future, see here.

Related market. Come bet on this as well.

Tim D. Bach bought Ṁ25 NO from 14% to 13%

zebra sold Ṁ10 NO at 14%

johnleoks bought Ṁ10 NO at 14%

dedzy77 bought Ṁ25 NO at 14%

TylerRedner bought Ṁ10 NO from 15% to 14%

xCrimson sold Ṁ21 NO from 14% to 15%

Garry Red bought Ṁ10 NO at 14%

zebra bought Ṁ10 NO from 15% to 14%

Daliban Adjacent sold Ṁ9 YES from 16% to 15%

joakim balsgaard bought Ṁ45 NO from 18% to 16%

Daliban Adjacent bought Ṁ10 YES from 16% to 18%

Phil bought Ṁ10 NO at 16%

gessi sold Ṁ8 YES from 18% to 16%

AccelerationBot filled limit order Ṁ9/Ṁ100 YES at 18% (cancelled)

de mc bought Ṁ90 NO from 20% to 16%

Kendrek Mallory bought Ṁ10 NO from 21% to 20%

gessi bought Ṁ10 YES from 18% to 21%

joakim balsgaard sold Ṁ10 NO at 18%

joakim balsgaard bought Ṁ10 NO at 18%

joakim balsgaard bought Ṁ10 NO from 19% to 18%

joakim balsgaard bought Ṁ10 NO at 19%

joakim balsgaard bought Ṁ10 NO from 20% to 19%

joakim balsgaard bought Ṁ10 NO from 21% to 20%

joakim balsgaard bought Ṁ10 NO at 21%

Jeppe bought Ṁ10 NO from 22% to 21%

Agh sold Ṁ26 NO from 20% to 22%

Hanna Taylor bought Ṁ10 NO from 21% to 20%

ookeyikky bought Ṁ10 NO from 22% to 21%

Shah sold Ṁ81 NO from 16% to 22%

AccelerationBot filled limit order Ṁ11/Ṁ50 NO at 16% (cancelled)

Shah bought Ṁ50 NO from 20% to 17%

Agh bought Ṁ20 NO from 22% to 20%

Adrianna Z bought Ṁ10 NO from 23% to 22%

AccelerationBot filled limit order Ṁ13/Ṁ100 NO at 23% (cancelled)

BruhBruh sold Ṁ53 NO from 19% to 25%

xCrimson bought Ṁ20 NO from 22% to 19%

AccelerationBot filled limit order Ṁ2/Ṁ100 YES at 22% (cancelled)

Shah bought Ṁ30 NO from 27% to 20%

AccelerationBot filled limit order Ṁ7/Ṁ100 NO at 27% (cancelled)

yaboi69 bought Ṁ10 YES from 20% to 30%

Michael's Bot LaboratoryBot filled limit order Ṁ1/Ṁ100 YES at 20% (cancelled)

BruhBruh bought Ṁ50 NO from 38% to 18%

Hyp_28 created limit order for Ṁ30 NO at 50%

Vialabo bought Ṁ10 NO from 46% to 38%

Agh bought Ṁ4 NO from 50% to 46%

Related markets

Will Vaush's main channel reach 6.5 million views or more in March?23%

Will Vaush's side channel reach 127k subscribers in March?25%

Will Vaush's main channel reach 6 million views or more in March?36%

Will Vaush's side channel reach 3 million views or more in March?31%

Will Vaush's clip "Vaush Talks "Friendship" & Fallout with Destiny" reach 20k views by 3/24 9 A.M. PST?18%

Will any Vaush video posted in March reach 250k views or more within the same month?49%

Will any Vaush video posted in March reach 200k views or more within the same month?41%

Will any Vaush video posted in March reach 225k views or more within the same month?53%

Will any VaushPit (Vaush's 2nd channel) video posted in March reach 125k views or more within the same month?41%

Will Vaush's side channel reach 126k subscribers in March?56%

Related markets

Will Vaush's main channel reach 6.5 million views or more in March?23%

Will Vaush's side channel reach 127k subscribers in March?25%

Will Vaush's main channel reach 6 million views or more in March?36%

Will Vaush's side channel reach 3 million views or more in March?31%

Will Vaush's clip "Vaush Talks "Friendship" & Fallout with Destiny" reach 20k views by 3/24 9 A.M. PST?18%

Will any Vaush video posted in March reach 250k views or more within the same month?49%

Will any Vaush video posted in March reach 200k views or more within the same month?41%

Will any Vaush video posted in March reach 225k views or more within the same month?53%

Will any VaushPit (Vaush's 2nd channel) video posted in March reach 125k views or more within the same month?41%

Will Vaush's side channel reach 126k subscribers in March?56%