Will at least 7 orbiters be at Destiny's Georgia runoff canvassing event?
Resolved
NO

Attendance can be confirmed by either being seen on stream or them stating on any social media that they are in Georgia canvassing with Destiny.

Orbiters include guests who show up occasionally or frequently on Destiny's stream. They include people like Dan, Aba, Brittany Simon, IRI, Dylan, Ahrelevant, Supreme, Sushia, Darius etc. Melina does NOT count.

Market resolves when its confimed that there are 7 or more orbiters participating in canvassing. If not, the market will close on the day of the runoff.


Close date updated to 2022-12-12 11:59 pm

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Kilmor avatar
Kilmor
is predicting YES at 37%

thank fuck i sold early

johnleoks avatar

After much consideration, I will not be counting FancySloth an orbiter, he's more of a chat "celeb" if anything. Unlike Darius, he doesn't jump on discord calls when he wants to.

johnleoks avatar

Darius did not show up according to Sondsol and his crew.
https://youtu.be/AE2XoB0djfs?t=733

I'll have to think about whether FancySloth and TomFoolery should be considered orbiters, might even run a poll to determine it. Because if they are, then the number is 7.

TodWaddington avatar
Genzy
is predicting YES at 49%

@johnleoks Obviously I'm biased (bought YES), but if you have to consider if they are orbiters (because they have appeared on stream, outside of being a caller) then they likely meet your own definition provided.

Either way my position isn't very big, but the issue here is whether you want to use the poorly defined term (orbiter) or your broader description, which was "guests who show up occasionally or frequently on Destiny's stream". I would guess 3 or more appearances is occasionally.

Settle it as you see fit, but I think your description doesn't really fit "orbiter". I wouldn't call them orbiters, but they make occasional appearances

Zion avatar
Zion
is predicting NO at 49%

@johnleoks You should run a poll in reddit/dgg to get some unbiased responses

Zion avatar
Zion
is predicting NO at 49%

@TodWaddington also worth considering that tom foolery and fancysloth are the only two out of the 7 "orbiters" that don't have discord perms and havent been on stream this year.

TodWaddington avatar
Genzy
bought Ṁ17 of YES

@Zion Well the poll will be ruined if it uses the term orbiters, he defined it here as "show up occasionally or frequently on stream". The definition is the issue, but there is not point discussing they are orbiters, only if they "show up occasionally or frequently on stream" which I think is obviously yes. Otherwise, their names wouldn't come up at all.

Zion avatar
Zion
is predicting NO at 17%

@TodWaddington if its obviously yes can you link me two occasions of either of them showing up on destiny's stream? because i could easily do that for the other 5 mentioned and i bet you cant for those two.

BrandonDeLaGarza avatar

as someone who no longer has a stake in this contest I would like to say I personally would call fancysloth an orbiter, and would not call Tom one.

For future contests I would define your terms in the blurb, "orbiters include guests who ..." is very noncommittal language.

So the terms do not actually have any requirement for stream appearance because they suppose a class of orbiter who does not occasionally appear on stream.

If its not too insulting it might be useful to ask Tom. I think self-identity is somewhat important when it comes to orbiter status.

johnleoks avatar

FancySloth was confirmed to be there as well.
https://youtu.be/0Pw9oMHomzE?t=1180

We'll see if Darius confirms or not, he's rumored to be there.

Zion avatar
Zion
is predicting NO at 44%

@johnleoks are you considering fancysloth an orbiter? lol

johnleoks avatar
  1. So on today's stream it was mentioned that Chaeiry, Rum1n8, Pixie, and Erin were there.

  2. We know Tom Foolery was there as well. https://twitter.com/TomFooleryP/status/1599146260786601985

  3. Sondsol also said he landed on Sunday morning in his discord with MayaMoo's splinter Dgg group. https://discord.com/channels/667880348126019615/908775863514955787/1049040866959962172

  4. So that's at least 6 confirmed. We will wait for a couple of days and see if at least another one confirms their attendance.

MicahNazarino avatar
Micah Nazarino
is predicting YES at 36%

@johnleoks I am pretty sure that Darius said that he would be there before on stream. So hopefully he can confirm it.

mason0 avatar
mason0
is predicting NO at 36%

@johnleoks I don't think tom foolery counts. he's been on stream like what, once?

MicahNazarino avatar
Micah Nazarino
is predicting YES at 36%

@johnleoks They also confirmed StraightRade(Erin) on stream, and she is for sure an orbiter.

mason0 avatar
mason0
is predicting NO at 36%

@MicahNazarino erin definitely counts, she's been on a ton and has dicord perms. tom foolery is a total nobody though. i recognize the name but don't even remember what they talked about

johnleoks avatar

@mason0 Destiny's been on his panels (back when it was a thing) a few times. He was also the one who provided BTS info to Destiny during the debate with Dylan over the Prime drama. Also, he has been in contact with Destiny working on a documentary for months now. He should count.

Zion avatar
Zion
is predicting NO at 40%

tom foolery doesn't have perms in the discord while everyone else does. and has he ever actually appeared on Destiny's stream? Never heard of this guy till now.

BrandonDeLaGarza avatar
Brandon De La Garza
is predicting NO at 41%

@johnleoks actually contentious ruling. If he doesn't have discord perms I think thats a big mark against him.

Looking at it, is the last onstream interaction they had the panel on March of 2021? That seems a bit much for even the word "occasionally" in your blurb. Might be something to be said about him neither canvasing or doing administrative work for the operation too.

TodWaddington avatar
Genzy
is predicting YES at 17%

@BrandonDeLaGarza Discord perms don't matter, it has nothing to do with the terms outlined here. The only condition given was "Orbiters include guests who show up occasionally or frequently on Destiny's stream."

It's literally any "guest" who is ocassionally on stream. If you are questioning whether a stream guest is an orbiter, they almost definitely meet this definition. Both tomfoolery and Fancysloth meet that definition.

Whether or not they meet YOUR definition for orbiter, isn't really relevant.

BrandonDeLaGarza avatar

@TodWaddington

Orbiters include guests who show up occasionally or frequently on Destiny's stream.

You read this as "People who occasionally show up on stream are orbiters"

Those two things are not equal. Hey I respect the hustle though, good luck with the 5x

Zion avatar
Zion
bought Ṁ100 of NO
yaboi69 avatar
yaboi69
is predicting YES at 29%

@Zion These are the only ones positively confirmed, but we can wait a little longer to be sure IMO

Zion avatar
Zion
is predicting NO at 29%

@Zion Chaeiry, Rum1n8, Pixie, and Erin

BrandonDeLaGarza avatar
Brandon De La Garza
bought Ṁ55 of NO

This is literally free money, Think for a second and come up with a list of 7 orbiters and see how absurd that would be.

MicahNazarino avatar
Micah Nazarino
is predicting YES at 56%

@BrandonDeLaGarza Lycan, Darius, IRI, Ruminate, Ahrelevant (I think), Dylan Burns, Supreme

I think all of these guys have the potential for showing up.

Kilmor avatar
Kilmor
is predicting YES at 50%

@MicahNazarino and more have said they were going, I think tree said they were gonna be there, melina probably counts rofl. we should get jideon to do a prank on the canvassers

chao avatar
Chao
is predicting YES at 50%

@MicahNazarino plus GappyV literally lives in Georgia

johnleoks avatar

Related market. Come make your bets here too.

Petter avatar

Is there a definitive list of orbiters?

johnleoks avatar

@Petter Anyone who frequently or occasionally appears on Destiny's stream (regardless whether they are a larger content creator ex. Aba) would be considered an orbiter. You can also just type "Permanent" in the search bar and it will show all of the orbiter stocks on the site.