Will 150 or more Dggers show up for Destiny's Georgia canvassing project for the runoff election?
213
112
2K
resolved Dec 5
Resolved
YES

Market will resolve when there is confirmation that any single canvassing day has at least 150 canvessers. The confirmation can be from someone like Sejin (organizer) or Destiny himself mentioning the number of canvassers on stream or in chat.

Close date updated to 2022-12-12 11:59 pm

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bought Ṁ859 of YES

hes rolling out of 157 on stream to give away items, implying 157 people are there canvassing

sold Ṁ7 of NO

157 people signed up for the dgg merch raffle

predicted NO

@BaileyAlger How many of them canvassed?

sold Ṁ109 of YES

@ANN So they cared enough to come to Georgia for the low chance of getting a $60 shirt, but didn't care enough to knock on a door?

predicted NO

@DavidDavidson Some people could've come with a partner and just hung out in the free hotel room all day and partied with the group at night

predicted YES

@ANN And you think there was a substantial number of these people...

Besides that, this 157 number doesn't matter. Destiny has already said there were 300 different volunteers.

predicted NO

@DavidDavidson 300 different volunteers doesn't mean 300 canvassers, since there were other ways people were volunteering other than canvassing

predicted YES

@ANN So more than 150 volunteers were required for less than 150 canvassers? Have you participated in this type of event before?

predicted NO

@DavidDavidson Yes, there are volunteers that are there to support the canvassers. While they are participants, they do not actively canvas themselves add that to the number of people who took advantage of a free hotel room who also did not canvas themselves

predicted YES

@ANN I'm saying do you think these types of events require more volunteers to take care of the people achieving the goal than the number of people achieving the goal itself. I'm not really asking, everyone already knows the answer is no, I'm just commenting for your benefit as this won't be resolving no.

predicted NO
predicted YES

@ANN https://twitter.com/DeminkSpencer/status/1599101795636510720 Guess again, from the same thread you linked

predicted NO

@GoodGrief You can literally count them in the picture, regardless of what they say in a tweet

predicted YES

@ANN Do you think that all the people who showed up were in that picture? No one was late? No one was away doing errands? No one just didn't want to be in the picture?

predicted YES

@DavidDavidson DREW besides the rules on resolving are: Market will resolve when there is confirmation that any single canvassing day has at least 150 canvessers. The confirmation can be from someone like Sejin (organizer) or Destiny himself mentioning the number of canvassers on stream or in chat.

We have confirmation from Destiny all the conditions are met.

predicted YES

@ANN Beyond the many reasons you might not get all of them in the one picture, the only thing required to resolve the market is confirmation from Destiny or Sejin which we already have.

predicted NO

@GoodGrief We don't even know if these are Destiny's canvassers

predicted YES

@ANN we don't need to, the rules stipulate we only need Destiny's confirmation on the number of canvassers that attend the event. He's already confirmed it in the agreed upon place

predicted NO

@GoodGrief It also stipulates that it requires them to show up on the canvassing day, Destiny's number is who showed up on Friday which is not one of the days they were canvassing

predicted YES

@ANN That's Saturday morning Georgia event day. The event in question is canvassing, not merely arriving the previous night. Enough with the copium

predicted YES

@ANN Beyond which it states the conditions but only stipulates Destiny's confirmation to uphold it as true, that's how setting the barrier of evidence works. We can play the ultimate skeptic to any and all evidence. But we don't have to because that's all we need. They still haven't resolved though so you've still got time to sell!

predicted NO

@GoodGrief Wouldn't it be silly for the title to specifically state "Dggers" but then throw that away in the rules?

predicted YES

@BaileyAlger Maybe, but then it'd be even sillier to invest in it without consulting the rules first