Resolves YES if the initial BLS Consumer Price Index release for October 2026 reports a seasonally adjusted month-over-month increase of at least 0.3% in CPI-U, U.S. city average, all items less food and energy. Otherwise resolves NO.

Use the published one-decimal percentage change from September to October. Exactly 0.3% counts as YES. Do not calculate a more precise change from index levels, and do not use later revisions.

Primary source: https://www.bls.gov/news.release/cpi.htm

Release schedule: https://www.bls.gov/schedule/news_release/cpi.htm

Trading closes November 10, 2026 at 13:29 UTC (8:29 a.m. Eastern), one minute before the scheduled release. If the release is delayed, use the first October 2026 release. If BLS has not published the relevant figure by December 31, 2026 at 11:59 p.m. Eastern, resolve N/A.

This question concerns core CPI, excluding food and energy, rather than headline CPI. Initial probability: 40%, a subjective estimate, not an announced result.