🏅 Top traders

2% → 60%Dec 24, 10:28am

@jim who or what caused the jump? I can't find the trade that caused it. Could you maybe post a screenshot of it? :)

@Felle @MiraBot

@jim thank you 🤝🏼

Do you have an idea why I can't see the trade of Mirabot on the market?

@Felle right now it's not showing me any trades from more than 10 hours ago but less than 10 days ago. So I can't help you there.

I hope I learned a lot by losing a quarter of my all-time profits in this market. That came pretty unexpected.

@Primer yeah. I lost a bundle too. It's not good to have a system where zombie accounts can attack everyone else after they've already declared they're done here, with no ability for the system to penalize then

@Primer unfortunately everyone has to learn this lesson, and it's usually painful.

One should never over-invest into a market that a sufficiently motivated Manifold user can force a resolution on.

I feel u guys. I recently lost 150% of my all time profit because I bet, Google wouldn't release Google Gemini this year which Google initially made clear would not be the case.

Then their very unspectacular Model Gemini 'Pro' was released 🤡 🫠

This is at least as likely as the market resolving YES, I should think?

@KevinFischer yes, but the price of the LK-99 market might not accurately reflect the actual chances of it resolving YES

@Odoacre Thanks! New here and wasn't sure if it was common for markets to resolve without trading up or down first, if so that would certainly change the odds dramatically on this one! Other than that, is there a reason someone would sell 11 here rather than 13 on the main market?

Unlike last time around, the yes bettors would need to eat their way through 100K mana worth of limit orders before reaching 60%.