Will Grok 3 beat DeepSeek r1 in LiveBench? | Manifold

Will Grok 3 beat DeepSeek r1 in LiveBench?

51

1kṀ14k

resolved Apr 11

Resolved

N/A

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Resolves as soon as Grok 3 has a rating in https://livebench.ai. DeepSeek-r1 currently has a global average of 71.57, which Grok 3 would have to beat for this market to resolve as YES.

Credit to @ChaosIsALadder for the market format.

Update 2025-03-01 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Resolution Criteria Update:
- The market will resolve based on the first global score of a Grok 3 model.

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at this point it seems sort of likely that a very different model will be the first with api access... can we NA this now?

what happens if grok3 is significantly updated before all its scores are released on livebench?

@CrypticQccZ i think it just resolves based on the first global score of a grok 3 model

sold Ṁ32 NO

@jim resolves yes now, in that case

@jim ok grok3 is below deepseek but grok3 mini high thinking is above. imo this should be an NA

Which Grok 3? The reasoning variant or non reasoning model?

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