
Feel free to add your own options ❤
Or comment them and I'll add them
https://www.teenvogue.com/story/harry-potter-tv-reboot-hbo-max-everything-you-need-to-know
Update 2025-07-15 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): In response to a question about how options referring to characters or events not in Season 1 will be handled, the creator has stated the market will be resolved to N/A.
People are also trading
RESOLUTION CRITERIA Resolves YES if Gandalf makes a crossover appearance and he's black, Resolves NO if he makes an appearance and isn't black. Also resolves YES if we get a crossover episode featuring a Gandalf the Black to go along with Gandalf the Grey and Gandalf the White, even if he is not actually Black. Resolves N/A if no appearance by end of first season
@evan What the characters are shown watching a Rankin/Bass adaptation of LOTR/Hobbit, in which Gandalf is depicted as white? (Peter Jackson's adaptations would be anachronistic)
@evan what if there is a character like a house elf or something named gandalf and he is black in coloration?
@dgga it is tomorrow where I live (j/k, but almost)
I've created three options here: https://manifold.markets/TylerMurphy/what-will-be-true-of-the-new-harry-CqQO9zp2nq#q50LnOUQl0pd
I made a market for the series as a whole https://manifold.markets/TylerMurphy/what-will-be-true-of-the-new-harry-CqQO9zp2nq
I'm probably not gonna bet because the resolution condition(s) are not clearly (or at all) defined, and I hate even taking part in this discussion (Idgaf about the race of anyone, only about the integrity of these markets), but looking at the few pictures Google gives me of Stanton, she is obviously not white. I don't know if we have a different definition for 'white' in Europe or something, but whatever ethnicity she is, it's definitely not white lol. 71% on this option is ridiculous.