SD = 15.
Resolves according to an analysis by the most powerful AI widely available on Jan 1st 2032 (with careful steps taken to maximise objectivity).
What if it’s negative?
AI has never been shown to be able to accurately determine a person's IQ.
IQ as a metric of intelligence has been contested and controversial, and measurement methods are questionable at best.
If someone makes a market on this being a reliable way to judge a person's intellect, I'd be willing to bet.
@ProjectVictory Yeah, market's not for everyone. It's a good market if you agree that there will be massive developments in AI by 2031, and that that entails in the AI the ability to reliably judge a person's intellect.
@ScipioFabius I used the duplicate function in the GUI on an existing market (then changed the details).