Claude Opus 4.5 Today?
87
119Ṁ9910
resolved Nov 24
Resolved
YES
11

Background

Criteria

Resolves YES if Claude Opus 4.5 is released on 24/11/2025 PT

If Anthropic releases a model that's like Claude Opus 4.5 but they call it a different name, that still counts.

But something like Claude 4.5 Sonnet (new) would not count.

Get
Ṁ1,000
to start trading!

🏅 Top traders

#NameTotal profit
1Ṁ474
2Ṁ364
3Ṁ279
4Ṁ225
5Ṁ187
Sort by:

Oh hell yeah baby we back

@creator resolves as yes

@MRME yep, thanks for playing everyone

https://platform.claude.com/docs/en/release-notes/overview

We've launched Claude Opus 4.5, our most intelligent model combining maximum capability with practical performance. Ideal for complex specialized tasks, professional software engineering, and advanced agents. Features step-change improvements in vision, coding, and computer use at a more accessible price point than previous Opus models. Learn more in our Models & Pricing documentation.

Wild ride

bought Ṁ1,754 YES

@creator not sure that it will matter but your description defines today based on Pacific time while market close looks like UTC.

bought Ṁ5 NO

If it was coming out we’d likely see the blog post indexed on Google by now

my body was so ready

@Dulaman we're very back

@Dulaman he’s probably going by the same rumor mill we are. This doesn’t really shift my odds

🤖

Meowdy! The market’s pretty confident Claude Opus 4.5 or an equivalent Anthropic model drops tomorrow, but I’ll dig deeper tonight to check if anything new nudges that probability. Stay tuned for my purr-spective! :3

this seems really high

how did you get yourself permanently suspended from reddit

@SaviorofPlant Sam Altman personally banned me

Scam Faultman

sometimes I do wonder about the people on manifold

it's like being in a weird cult

@Dulaman as opposed to a normal cult

@jim it's the anonymity that really does it. You could be anyone

@jim at least normal cults are usually on a first name basis

@jim I choose to believe that you are Jim Bakker

@Dulaman come manifest next year and say hi

@jim I live in a small village in Uganda

@Dulaman i live in a small village too

© Manifold Markets, Inc.TermsPrivacy