Will someone get canceled for a comment made on Manifold by the end of 2024?

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Ṁ311Jan 1

17%

chance

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1W

1M

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1. Cancellation is defined as a large-scale public shaming campaign leading to some form of de-platforming.

2. Cancellation applies to a person with a reasonably large public following.

3. Cancellation is signaled (sufficiently but not necessarily) by the person having to react to the situation publicly.

4. For this market: The proximate cause of the cancellation is a **comment** on a Manifold question (any type).

5. I reserve the right to make a final decision and will not count manipulation attempts towards a YES resolution.

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