Will I complete Quicktakeshaven before August 2026
2
Ṁ1kṀ100Jul 31
45%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
(i.e. Will I post >=80-word LW shortforms for 30 consecutive days before August 2026)
My LessWrong account is https://www.lesswrong.com/users/jelly
A shortform counts if it contains at least 80 words. I will try to make it so that they’re unambiguous, but if any isn’t, this resolves N/A
A day counts if I post at least one such shortform on that day. Days are defined in UTC+7.
This market resolves YES iff there are 30 such consecutive days all before August 2026, ORN, except for any exclusive cases mentioned.
I may resolve this market N/A in the next 24 hours after this market’s creation at my discretion
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get
1,000 to start trading!