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MANIFOLD
Will I complete Quicktakeshaven before August 2026
2
Ṁ1kṀ100
Jul 31
45%
chance

(i.e. Will I post >=80-word LW shortforms for 30 consecutive days before August 2026)

My LessWrong account is https://www.lesswrong.com/users/jelly

A shortform counts if it contains at least 80 words. I will try to make it so that they’re unambiguous, but if any isn’t, this resolves N/A

A day counts if I post at least one such shortform on that day. Days are defined in UTC+7.

This market resolves YES iff there are 30 such consecutive days all before August 2026, ORN, except for any exclusive cases mentioned.

I may resolve this market N/A in the next 24 hours after this market’s creation at my discretion

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