When will the next Pokémon Presents air?
When will the next Pokémon Presents air?
3
460Ṁ176
resolved Aug 9
100%72%
August 2023
2%
June 2023
2%
July 2023
11%
September 2023
2%
October 2023
2%
November 2023
2%
December 2023
2%
January 2024
2%
February 2024
2%
Not before March 2024

This market resolves to the month in which the next Pokémon Presents is aired. If no Pokémon Presents is aired before March 1, 2024, this market resolves to "Not before March 2024."

For reference, a list of the most recent Pokémon Presents/Direct airings in reverse chronological order:

  • February 2023; August 2022; February 2022; August 2021; February 2021; June 2020 (x2); January 2020; June 2019; February 2019

If the name of the presentation is slightly different - e.g. Pokémon Direct, Pokémon Presentation, Pokémon Announcements - then the airing is still sufficient to resolve this market as YES.

This market resolves based on air date, not announcement date. A Presents announced in July that airs in August would resolve to August, not July.

In the event of ambiguity, here are my criteria for a Pokémon presentation sufficient for a YES resolution:

  • Called "Pokémon Presents" or "Pokémon Direct" or other similar title

  • Aired live

  • Covers multiple subjects, or a single subject in much more detail than a simple game trailer would. Rule of thumb: should be at least 5-10 minutes long.

  • Officially aired by The Pokémon Company as its own presentation; Pokémon being mentioned in a Nintendo Direct is not sufficient for a YES resolution.

Get
Ṁ1,000
to start trading!

🏅 Top traders

#NameTotal profit
1Ṁ134
2Ṁ8
3Ṁ7

What is this?

What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Or create your own play-money betting market on any question you care about.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like betting still use Manifold to get reliable news.
ṀWhy use play money?
Mana (Ṁ) is the play-money currency used to bet on Manifold. It cannot be converted to cash. All users start with Ṁ1,000 for free.
Play money means it's much easier for anyone anywhere in the world to get started and try out forecasting without any risk. It also means there's more freedom to create and bet on any type of question.
© Manifold Markets, Inc.TermsPrivacy