Will Donald Trump's campaign raise more money than Joe Biden's in July?
29
1kṀ5822
resolved Aug 21
Resolved
N/A

Based on "Total Receipts" in FEC filings https://docquery.fec.gov/cgi-bin/forms/C00703975/sa and https://docquery.fec.gov/cgi-bin/forms/C00828541/DJTFP24.COM, although if that isn't the best metric I may correct it within the first few days of the market

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US Politics
Trump
Finance
2024 US Presidential Election
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I think N/A is the best resolution here, as the campaign is no longer "Joe Biden's", so NO wouldn't be what people bet on, and buying NO was reasonable given the description. Any objections?

Sounds fair

@jacksonpolack the filings are available, the only question is whether you are going to consider Harris' campaign as Biden's

sold Ṁ438 YES

How do we handle the fact that Biden is not running a more?

in the market description if you click on the link it says: Filings by HARRIS FOR PRESIDENT - C00703975


So Harris should count by that logic imo... She raised more in 1 week then Trump in the whole month...

Is it normal for the sites to take several minutes to load or not load at all? Is there some private website that displays the same info and actually works?

bought Ṁ150 YES

Got shot + convention month + Biden's big donors are revolting over his age-related decline. I feel pretty confident here.

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