If Elon Musk files a defamation lawsuit against the ADL before 2024 ends, will the ADL pay over $1 billion?
8
17
150
2025
5%
chance

https://twitter.com/elonmusk/status/1698828606598734225 https://twitter.com/elonmusk/status/1698831606943801525

To clear our platform’s name on the matter of anti-Semitism, it looks like we have no choice but to file a defamation lawsuit against the Anti-Defamation League … oh the irony!

In our case, they would potentially be on the hook for destroying half the value of the company, so roughly $22 billion.

This resolves N/A if there's no lawsuit before the end of 2024. Otherwise, it will stay open until the suit concludes and then resolves YES or NO.

Not sure about this part, I can change it in the first few days if I get feedback in comments: If the suit is settled, resolves YES/NO based on credible media reporting or credible statements by involved parties. If it's not publicly known, resolves N/A.

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