How will Biden's first post-debate interview on ABC go relative to concerns about his age and mental status?
99
10kṀ99kresolved Jul 6
100%63%
He'll make many mistakes, giving a poor impression, but still perform somewhat better than the debate.
1.8%
He'll be sharp and perform very well, comparable to his best appearances in the past ~decade
34%
He'll respond reasonably to the questions, with only some significant mistakes.
1.1%
Very bad, at or below recent debate performance
0.2%
Interview doesn't happen
Resolves based on the consensus of three moderators (me and Joshua and Semiotic), based on the interview itself and media reactions.
An example of a 'perform very well' performance would be the Biden vs Ryan VP 2012 debate.
Criteria open to clarification/mild adjustements in the first few hours after market creation if suggestions are made!
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