2030: % of "working age adults w/ serious difficulty remembering, making decisions" in US Census Survey? (long covid)

300Ṁ571

2031

ALL

< 3% (pre-2020 trend fit)

>=3%, <4.5% (roughly current range)

47%

>= 4.5%, < 7% (post-2020 trend fit)

43%

>= 7% (significantly worse than post-2020 trend)

This is a market based on a poll by Dan Luu:

I wonder what the long-term rate of "working-age adults who report 'serious' difficulty remembering, concentrating, or making decisions" is going to be.
This rate had been declining basically forever for the obvious reasons, but this has turned around since 2020, also for the obvious reasons.

Implying the cause is Long Covid

The highest option is winning his poll.

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