Will Trump be indicted or charged AGAIN (a fourth time) in July?

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resolved Aug 3

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Resolves YES if new criminal charges are brought against former president of the United States Donald J. Trump in July 2023 (ET), other than the additional charges in the classified documents case announced on July 27 (https://www.cnn.com/2023/07/27/politics/read-trump-indictment-classified-documents/index.html). Otherwise NO.

Criminal charges include grand jury indictment or other charges.
For grand jury indictments, this question uses the date when the grand jury votes to indict.
- There may be some time between when this vote happens and when the indictment is publicly reported, so the question will remain open until slightly after the specified deadline.
In the event the date charges were brought is unknown, this question will instead use the earliest time the charges are unsealed, officially announced, or reported by reliable media publications

Background

https://www.politico.com/interactives/2023/trump-criminal-investigations-cases-tracker-list/

https://www.cnn.com/2023/07/18/politics/trump-special-counsel-probe/index.html

“Deranged Jack Smith, the prosecutor with Joe Biden’s DOJ, sent a letter (again, it was Sunday night!) stating that I am a TARGET of the January 6th Grand Jury investigation, and giving me a very short 4 days to report to the Grand Jury, which almost always means an Arrest and Indictment,” Trump posted on Truth Social.

Donald Trump says he’s a target of special counsel’s criminal probe into 2020 election aftermath | CNN Politics

Former President Donald Trump said in a social media post he’s been informed by special counsel Jack Smith that he is a target of the criminal investigation into efforts to overturn the 2020 election, a sign he may soon be charged by the special counsel.

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this can resolve to "No" right?

predicted NO

@KevinBurke There's still a chance the grand jury voted yesterday and the charges haven't been announced yet.

For grand jury indictments, this question uses the date when the grand jury votes to indict.
There may be some time between when this vote happens and when the indictment is publicly reported, so the question will remain open until slightly after the specified deadline.

@jack They met today for Jan 6 and returned an indictment.

https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/donald-trump/live-blog/trump-live-updates-grand-jury-2020-election-probe-arrives-courthouse-rcna96825

Trump indictment live updates: Grand jury charges former president in 2020 election probe

The grand jury in special counsel Jack Smith’s probe into Trump and his allies’ efforts to overturn the 2020 election is arriving at the federal courthouse in D.C.

bought Ṁ30 of YES

@NicoDelon Does this resolve yes then?

predicted NO

@RahulShah Nope. That was an August 1 indictment.

bought Ṁ500 of NO

I think we're mainly watching the Georgia grand jury now. There's perhaps a slim chance that the Georgia grand jury has already voted to indict but it's still sealed and hasn't been announced yet.

predicted NO

@RahulShah What Jack said. I just meant that the Jan 6 indictment was not voted in July.

Resolving NO. If it turns out that the resolution criteria were met (e.g. Georgia grand jury filed a sealed indictment in July that hasn't come out yet) then I'll get the resolution updated to YES.

Btw the Georgia grand jury appears to still be issuing subpoenas: https://thehill.com/regulation/court-battles/4131600-former-georgia-state-lawmaker-subpoenaed-by-georgia-grand-jury-report/