Will Trump be indicted or charged AGAIN (a fourth time) in July?
28
93
550
resolved Aug 3
Resolved
NO

Resolves YES if new criminal charges are brought against former president of the United States Donald J. Trump in July 2023 (ET), other than the additional charges in the classified documents case announced on July 27 (https://www.cnn.com/2023/07/27/politics/read-trump-indictment-classified-documents/index.html). Otherwise NO.


  • Criminal charges include grand jury indictment or other charges.

  • For grand jury indictments, this question uses the date when the grand jury votes to indict.

    • There may be some time between when this vote happens and when the indictment is publicly reported, so the question will remain open until slightly after the specified deadline.

  • In the event the date charges were brought is unknown, this question will instead use the earliest time the charges are unsealed, officially announced, or reported by reliable media publications

Background

https://www.politico.com/interactives/2023/trump-criminal-investigations-cases-tracker-list/

https://www.cnn.com/2023/07/18/politics/trump-special-counsel-probe/index.html

“Deranged Jack Smith, the prosecutor with Joe Biden’s DOJ, sent a letter (again, it was Sunday night!) stating that I am a TARGET of the January 6th Grand Jury investigation, and giving me a very short 4 days to report to the Grand Jury, which almost always means an Arrest and Indictment,” Trump posted on Truth Social.

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this can resolve to "No" right?

predicted NO

@KevinBurke There's still a chance the grand jury voted yesterday and the charges haven't been announced yet.

For grand jury indictments, this question uses the date when the grand jury votes to indict.

  • There may be some time between when this vote happens and when the indictment is publicly reported, so the question will remain open until slightly after the specified deadline.

bought Ṁ30 of YES

@NicoDelon Does this resolve yes then?

predicted NO

@RahulShah Nope. That was an August 1 indictment.

bought Ṁ500 of NO

I think we're mainly watching the Georgia grand jury now. There's perhaps a slim chance that the Georgia grand jury has already voted to indict but it's still sealed and hasn't been announced yet.

predicted NO

@RahulShah What Jack said. I just meant that the Jan 6 indictment was not voted in July.