Will the Room-Temperature Superconductor LK-99 be replicated in 2023? (Insight)
resolved Jan 1

Resolves the same as https://insightprediction.com/m/243604/will-the-room-temperature-superconductor-be-replicated

Copy of the resolution criteria:

This market will resolve positively if the room-temperature superconductor as described in "The First Room-Temperature Ambient-Pressure Superconductor" (https://arxiv.org/abs/2307.12008) and companion paper (https://arxiv.org/abs/2307.12037) is replicated by at least two other independent research groups that share no affiliation with the authors of this paper, by December 31, 2023 at 11:59PM ET. This market will resolve according to a consensus of credible reporting.

The results need not be reproduced in entirety, but any replications must show that the specific material proposed by the authors exhibits the properties of a superconductor (e.g. Type I, II, III) including near-zero electrical resistivity and a phase change as well as the Meissner Effect (excluding Type III that may not exhibit this property). In the event of any ambiguity or controversy, Insight Prediction reserves the right of judgment. End Date: 12/31/2023

Note: In the event that the paper(s) are retracted from Arxiv (including removed by the authors themselves), and a consensus of credible reporting determines that the results were fraudalent or otherwise fabricated, then the market may resolve to "No" sooner than the expiration date.

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