Will Ron DeSantis be the 2024 Republican nominee for president?
47
119
830
2024
7%
chance

Resolves based on the winner of the 2024 nomination of the Republican Party for U.S. president.

Details:

  • Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

  • If a candidate becomes presumptive nominee after securing a majority of pledged delegates, this market will resolve on a preliminary basis. However, if the actual nominee ends up being a different candidate than the presumptive nominee, then the resolution of the market will be changed to reflect the final nominee.

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jack avatar
Jackbought Ṁ10 of NO

There are several existing markets for this question, but they did not have as detailed resolution criteria as I would have liked.