Will Ron DeSantis be the 2024 Republican nominee for president?
Aug 31, 2024
Resolves based on the winner of the 2024 nomination of the Republican Party for U.S. president.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
If a candidate becomes presumptive nominee after securing a majority of pledged delegates, this market will resolve on a preliminary basis. However, if the actual nominee ends up being a different candidate than the presumptive nominee, then the resolution of the market will be changed to reflect the final nominee.
Jackbought Ṁ10 of NO
There are several existing markets for this question, but they did not have as detailed resolution criteria as I would have liked.
Joshua bought Ṁ10 NO from 42% to 41%
TexanElite bought Ṁ10 YES from 41% to 42%
Joshua bought Ṁ20 YES from 38% to 41%
Dylan Slagh bought Ṁ10 NO from 39% to 38%
bobzieh bought Ṁ25 NO from 42% to 39%
Joshua bought Ṁ10 YES from 40% to 42%
Joshua bought Ṁ10 YES from 38% to 40%
Michael's Bot LaboratoryBot filled limit order Ṁ9/Ṁ9 YES at 38% (cancelled)
satan bought Ṁ50 NO from 42% to 36%
drevv bought Ṁ20 NO from 45% to 42%
Adam Vollrath bought Ṁ10 NO from 47% to 45%
cos filled limit order Ṁ1/Ṁ1 YES at 44%
cos filled limit order Ṁ1/Ṁ1 YES at 41%
cos created limit order for Ṁ1 NO at 58%
cos created limit order for Ṁ1 NO at 55%
Jonathan Mann sold Ṁ11 NO from 45% to 47%
Mark Ingraham bought Ṁ5 YES from 43% to 45%
Joshua bought Ṁ10 NO from 46% to 43%
Nico D bought Ṁ10 YES from 43% to 46%
Logan Turner bought Ṁ12 NO from 48% to 43%
Christian DeAngelis bought Ṁ10 YES from 42% to 48%
Joshua bought Ṁ10 NO from 49% to 42%
Jonathan Mann bought Ṁ10 NO from 58% to 49%
OperationIvy85 bought Ṁ10 YES from 50% to 58%
Jeff B.-K. bought Ṁ10 YES from 41% to 50%
Jack bought Ṁ5 YES from 36% to 41%
JAAM bought Ṁ10 NO from 43% to 36%
Conflux bought Ṁ2 YES from 41% to 43%
Jack bought Ṁ10 NO from 50% to 41%