MANIFOLD
Will Ron DeSantis be the 2024 Republican nominee for president?
53
Ṁ865Ṁ51k
resolved Mar 13
Resolved
NO

Resolves based on the winner of the 2024 nomination of the Republican Party for U.S. president.

Details:

  • Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

  • If a candidate becomes presumptive nominee after securing a majority of pledged delegates, this market will resolve on a preliminary basis. However, if the actual nominee ends up being a different candidate than the presumptive nominee, then the resolution of the market will be changed to reflect the final nominee.

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Trump has secured enough delegates to be presumptive nominee (AP). Provisional resolution as per the rules in the description.

We can bet on if some surprise change happens here:

There are several existing markets for this question, but they did not have as detailed resolution criteria as I would have liked.

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