How does this resolve if Putin enters Kyiv by involuntary or incidental means: he's captured or extradited to there, his body arrives but only after becoming deceased, he passes through in a caravan, or perhaps he arrives without knowing where he is?

while I don't think Russia will conquer Kyiv by 2025, it is not unthinkable. At 2% market was too certain.

Resolves YES if by December 31, 2024, reliable media publications report that Putin has stepped foot in Kyiv. Otherwise NO.

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