Resolves YES if Magnus Carlsen loses his next tournament chess game against Hans Niemann, after the September 19 game in the Julius Baer Generation Cup in which he resigned after his first move. Resolves NO if he wins or draws. Resolves N/A if no such game occurs by the end of 2023.
Background
https://worldchess.com/news/all/carlsen-chose-drama-against-niemann-resigned-after-move-2/
It comes without saying that after Carlsen’s withdrawal from the Sinquefield Cup 2022, and the accusations of Niemann cheating, the chess world was glued to their screens for their rematch at the Julius Baer Generation Cup. But the Norwegian GM didn’t hold the anticipation for long. He resigned with black after move 2 (1. d4 Nf6 2. c4) and shook the chess world one more time!
(To be clear, if Carlsen resigns, whether after 1 move or 100, that counts as a loss for this question.)
Sep 20, 8:59am: Will Magnus Carlsen lose his next tournament chess game against Hans Niemann? → Will Magnus Carlsen lose his next tournament chess game against Hans Niemann, after he resigned after his first move in the Julius Baer Generation Cup?
1,000
3.00@jack I guess it could resolve N/A too, based on the description. I just assumed that was no longer applicable since the market was still open.
It will resolve N/A if there were no tournament chess matches between them before the end of 2023, as stated. Anyone know or can check whether there were any?
@jack this was their first registered game since Julius Baer Generation Cup 2022. https://www.chessgames.com/perl/chess.pl?yearcomp=exactly&year=&playercomp=either&pid=52948&player=&pid2=152611&player2=&movescomp=exactly&moves=&opening=&eco=&result=#:~:text=LIFETIME%20RECORD%3A,to%202%2C%20with%202%20draws.
@EliasSchmied Hmm, I would lean towards YES if the chess tournament counts it as a loss. It seems pretty equivalent to resigning after one move.
@ahalekelly That's the same game I mentioned in the market description. I'm going to edit it to make it clearer.