Will Biden's election polling change at least 1% the month after the State of the Union?
29
129
Ṁ3.5kṀ700
resolved Apr 13
1D
1W
1M
ALL
100%98%
Less than 1% change
0.0%
Decrease at least 1%
2%
Increase at least 1%
Resolves to the change in Biden's polling average on RCP's Trump vs Biden polls between March 8 and April 8.
This will use the Biden polling average shown on the chart for the dates specified. For example, if it shows March 8 at 45.9% and April 8 at 44.5%, that is a decrease of 1.4%
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@RanaG Maybe we'll know after manifold has existed for 20 years and we have 20 versions of this market
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