Will Bank of America collapse, receive government support, be acquired, or sell a division before June?
13
250Ṁ8295
resolved Jun 1
Resolved
NO

Resolves YES if any of the following occur to the bank before June 2023:

1) Collapse: Bankruptcy, insolvency, or general cessation of operations.

2) Full Acquisition: Acquisition of at least 50% of the voting shares by another financial institution.

3) Partial Acquisition: Sale of one or more of its business units or divisions to other financial institutions.

4) Break-up: Split of the bank into at least two separate entities.

5) Government Support: Government-backed provision of financial assistance.

6) Central Bank Support: Direct intervention from a central bank.

7) International Support: Financial assistance from international institutions such as the IMF or central banks from other countries.

Only events on or after March 25 (the creation date of this question) will count.

It does not matter if these happen due to distress or not.

Resolution criteria based on: https://www.metaculus.com/questions/15622/deutsche-bank-collapse-before-june-2023/.

To be clear, nobody expects Bank of America to fail, except those predicting a widespread collapse of the financial system. This question is primarily intended as an attempt to get a baseline on how likely such situations are to happen in a healthy bank. For example, sale of a small business unit as part of the ordinary course of business would resolve YES.

Get
Ṁ1,000
to start trading!

🏅 Top traders

#NameTotal profit
1Ṁ36
2Ṁ35
3Ṁ14
4Ṁ9
5Ṁ2
Sort by:

Description refers to Deutsche Bank instead of Bank of America

@AaronLehmann Thanks, fixing.

© Manifold Markets, Inc.Terms + Mana-only TermsPrivacyRules