Model UN Futarchy: What metrics should we optimize over the next 10 years?
6
420Ṁ101
resolved Mar 23
50%31%
Life Expectancy * Civil Liberties * log(GDP per capita) * log(population)
30%9%
Life Expectancy * Civil Liberties * log(GDP per capita) * population
20%11%
Life Expectancy * log(Civil Liberties) * log(GDP per capita) * population
25%Other
12%
Population * log(GDP per capita)
5%
(Population * Life Expectancy * Civil Liberties) / GDP per Capita
6%
Optimizing a single KPI will yield perverse results. Let's think about tradeoffs when we are at the pareto frontier.

See the metrics here:

https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/16CSr8A0w88VOz-tgWsCaGnZ_NudRRqm4I9-N-X6fRaY/edit#gid=341784298

I will try to choose the formula(s) I like best expressing which combination of metrics to care about. I'll score each option with some amount of points and resolve proportional to the points. Close date TBD.

Get
Ṁ1,000
to start trading!

🏅 Top traders

#NameTotal profit
1Ṁ100
2Ṁ73
© Manifold Markets, Inc.TermsPrivacy