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MANIFOLD
Giannis Antetokounmpo stays on the Miami Heat for the entirety of the 2026-27 NBA season?
2
Ṁ100Ṁ26
2027
50%
chance

Resolution criteria

This market will resolve to YES if Giannis Antetokounmpo remains on the Miami Heat roster for the entire duration of the 2026-27 NBA regular season and postseason (if applicable).

  • Start of Period: The tip-off of the Miami Heat's first regular-season game of the 2026-27 season (expected in October 2026).

  • End of Period: The final buzzer of the Miami Heat's last game of the 2026-27 season (which may be their final regular-season game, play-in game, or playoff game).

This market will resolve to NO if, at any point between the start and end of this period, Giannis is traded, waived, bought out, or otherwise officially removed from the Miami Heat roster.

Notes:

  • Being sidelined due to injury, suspended, or placed on the inactive/injured list will not trigger a "NO" resolution, provided he remains officially rostered by and under contract with the Miami Heat.

  • Retiring during the season would trigger a NO if it results in him being officially removed from the active roster or if his contract is terminated/bought out.

  • The primary sources of truth for resolving this market will be the NBA's official transaction logs and Basketball-Reference.

Background

On July 6, 2026, the Miami Heat officially completed one of the largest trades in franchise history, acquiring two-time MVP Giannis Antetokounmpo and forward Bobby Portis from the Milwaukee Bucks. In exchange, the Bucks received Tyler Herro, Kasparas Jakučionis, Jaime Jaquez Jr., Kel'el Ware, and multiple first-round draft picks.

Giannis enters the 2026-27 season under the extension he originally signed with Milwaukee. This market predicts whether Miami will keep the "Greek Freak" on their roster for the entirety of his debut campaign in South Beach, or if subsequent roster movements or trade demands will end his tenure prematurely.

This description was generated by AI. Review and verify everything here yourself. You can edit, replace, or delete any part of this description, including the resolution criteria. You do not need to trust the AI output.

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