The starting value for this index's all-time-low looks like it shifted from the original market screenshot. Was there a change in how this index is priced? 

Regardless, the line is still not lower than the lowest low at time of comment, so my bet stands. 

This market will resolve to the WatchCharts Overall Market Index.

https://watchcharts.com/watches/price_index

This market will resolve YES if in 2024 this index hits its all-time-low, regardless of any potential methodology or retrospective changes.

Previous all-time-low of the index was at 24,981 from January 2021, as seen on the screenshot below:

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