This is a market on UK inflation over the 12 month period ending September 2022 as measured by the Consumer Prices Index including owner occupiers' housing costs (CIPH), from September 2021 to September 2022.
This market will resolve to "YES" if the CIPH is 8.9% or more in September 2022.
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "NO".
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The resolution source for this market is the figure provided by the UK Office for National Statistics (ONS), found at https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/inflationandpriceindices/timeseries/l55o/mm23.
The specific data point used will be titled "SEP 2022", which is found on the graph titled "CPIH ANNUAL RATE 00: ALL ITEMS 2015=100", and on the table view for the row with period "SEP 2022".
The release of the September 2022's CIPH is scheduled for October 19, 2022.
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The exact table mentioned above hasn't yet been updated. However, the same data set is used to power this chart, which has:
Based on that, the annual Sep-22 CIPH is 8.8%.
This market can be traded for real money at https://polymarket.com/market/will-uk-inflation-be-8pt9-or-more-in-september-2022