Will Manifold introduce a "verified"/"official"/"confirmed" badge by the end of 2023? | Manifold Markets

closes Dec 31

Manifold Manibadges

Will Manifold introduce a "verified"/"official"/"confirmed" badge by the end of 2023?

54%

chance

1D

1W

1M

ALL

Will resolve YES for any type of badge/type of account which indicates this person is somehow confirmed/verified/real.

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Tomek K 🟡is predicting NO at 76%

Why so much traffic on it now?

Tomek K 🟡is predicting NO at 84%

And I'm not sure whether current "Trustworthy. Ish" badge should count in this market? Would love to hear your opinions

Carson Galeis predicting YES at 84%

@kolotom99 I bet yes on the possibility there was a different interpretation, but think just based off the description it should not resolve yet. This market seems to be focusing on verifying a person's "realness", whereas the current verified badges are attempting to show "trustworthiness".

I'm not sure if they convey anything about their "realness" as of now.

JAAMsold Ṁ127 of YES

@CarsonGale I guess it is not "verified" or "confirmed", but one could argue that it is "official" as it comes from manifold

@CarsonGale I do currently use Trustworthyish to mark official accounts, even if they otherwise would not meet the bar for having enough of a track record on Manifold itself.

Tomek K 🟡is predicting NO at 91%

'Team member' does not count! Or should it?

Isaac Kingbought Ṁ30 of NO

@kolotom99 I don't think that should count. They don't indicate any sort of verification, they have a different meaning entirely.

Manifold in the WildBot

Will Manifold introduce a "verified"/"official"/"confirmed" badge by the end of 2023?, 8k, beautiful, illustration, trending on art station, picture of the day, epic composition

Dylan Pratt sold Ṁ7 YES at 54%

Fruit sold Ṁ6 YES from 55% to 54%

blue rat sold Ṁ20 NO from 53% to 55%

Em bought Ṁ10 NO from 54% to 53%

TheeDuelist bought Ṁ25 NO from 56% to 54%

AccelerationBot filled limit order Ṁ12/Ṁ100 YES at 56% (cancelled)

TheeDuelist bought Ṁ129 NO from 66% to 55%

Harlan Stewart sold Ṁ25 NO from 64% to 66%

Pickles Nathan sold Ṁ8 YES at 64%

AccelerationBot filled limit order Ṁ20/Ṁ100 YES at 64% (cancelled)

TheeDuelist bought Ṁ50 NO from 67% to 63%

TheeDuelist bought Ṁ25 NO from 69% to 67%

TheeDuelist bought Ṁ24 NO from 71% to 69%

Gabrielle bought Ṁ10 NO from 72% to 71%

Dylan Pratt bought Ṁ10 YES from 71% to 72%

Harlan Stewart bought Ṁ20 NO from 73% to 71%

TheeDuelist bought Ṁ64 NO from 78% to 73%

oh no bought Ṁ10 YES at 78%

Franklin Baldo bought Ṁ10 YES at 78%

AccelerationBot filled limit order Ṁ17/Ṁ100 NO at 78% (cancelled)

Katja Grace bought Ṁ25 NO from 81% to 79%

Julius Schaut bought Ṁ10 NO from 82% to 81%

Eugen Grue bought Ṁ1 NO at 82%

Galen sold Ṁ105 YES from 84% to 82%

Rai bought Ṁ10 YES at 84%

turb bought Ṁ10 YES at 84%

Inga Wei bought Ṁ10 YES from 83% to 84%

Inga Wei bought Ṁ10 NO from 84% to 83%

Vincali bought Ṁ70 YES from 83% to 84%

Inga Wei bought Ṁ10 YES at 83%

anne bought Ṁ50 YES from 82% to 83%

glitcher number 5 bought Ṁ60 YES from 81% to 82%

AccelerationBot filled limit order Ṁ45/Ṁ100 YES at 81% (cancelled)

Galen bought Ṁ100 YES from 78% to 80%

blue rat bought Ṁ10 NO at 78%

Jesus Of Sivar bought Ṁ10 YES at 78%

Aiden Fanning bought Ṁ20 YES at 78%

Jechto bought Ṁ20 YES from 77% to 78%

Arctanno bought Ṁ10 YES at 77%

Alg Uien bought Ṁ10 YES from 76% to 77%

alea bought Ṁ10 NO from 78% to 76%

Pickles Nathan bought Ṁ10 YES from 77% to 78%

JuJumper bought Ṁ10 YES at 77%

Diggelaer bought Ṁ10 YES from 76% to 77%

CatneeBot bought Ṁ10 YES at 76%

Anıl Anar bought Ṁ10 NO from 77% to 76%

Justin Torre bought Ṁ10 YES at 77%

KCS bought Ṁ10 NO from 78% to 77%

Inga Wei bought Ṁ10 NO from 80% to 78%

Inga Wei bought Ṁ10 NO from 81% to 80%