1
Will FED pivot by Q4 2023?
40
closes Dec 31
50%
chance

FED pivot is defined as the change in the approach of defining the upper bound of the target federal funds range, so-called 'interest rates'. The decisions on the target federal fund range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.

This market will resolve to "YES" if by December 31, 2023, the Federal Open Market Committee decides to decrease interest rates (over the level it was prior to the meeting), on any of its meeting.

The level and change of the target federal funds rate is published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.

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Daniel_MC avatar
Daniel
NexVeridian avatar
NexVeridianbought Ṁ230 of YES
ozan avatar
ozanbought Ṁ19 of NO

Based mostly on impressions... I bet they'll need to be quite careful with this step. So I find the current estimate pretty high.

Curious about the arguments.

MP avatar
MPis predicting NO at 64%

@ozan The Fed is data dependent. If you have a view about the economy, what the Fed will do is going to resemble that.

AndrewHartman avatar
Andrew Hartmanbought Ṁ50 of YES

I suspect they will, not necessarily because it's a good idea, but because they'll need to to limit the bleeding from debt service.

ManifoldDream avatar

Will FED pivot by Q4 2023?, 8k, beautiful, illustration, trending on art station, picture of the day, epic composition

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