February 2023: Will President Biden talk about UFOs?
22
131
430
resolved Mar 5
Resolved
NO

This market will resolve to YES, if in February 2023 President Biden mentions:

"UFO",
"UAP",
"unidentified flying object",
"unidentified aerial phenomenon", or
"aliens",

in one of his official statements (press conference, event remarks etc.) as transcribed at https://www.whitehouse.gov/briefing-room/.

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predicted YES

Such a travesty

predicted NO

@Odoacre To be honest - I'm not sure. Biden didn't mention any of the listed words exactly...

predicted YES

@itsTomekK that's right, he said: "unidentified aerial objects" which is a mix of UFO and UAP, but essentially means the same thing

@Odoacre He also said ‘the phenomenon of unidentified aerial objects’. This seems totally in the spirit of the question. I have no stake (yet) but I think this should count.

predicted NO

@NicoDelon The description is clear tough that this series of words is not included imo

@kitkatmarty true, none of those strings of words has appeared in this order in the linked remarks

predicted NO

@NicoDelon should we include these in March market? wdyt?

predicted YES

@kitkatmarty the title says "talks about UFOs". He did. Expecting a specific strings to appear in a specific order is silly. The meaning is what's important

Do you want a repeat of the ridiculous covid 19 market where everyone knows the thing happened but because of some technicality the market claims the opposite?

@itsTomekK Why not!

predicted YES

@itsTomekK if you do, do you mind changing the title to "will Biden pronounce these words" ? As that's what the market is actually about

predicted NO

@NicoDelon Seems the market resolved? I can't sell my position

@kitkatmarty It closed. Not resolved yet.

predicted NO

@NicoDelon I see, well I think it clearly states precise strings of words so if no exact strings were said it should close to No

predicted YES

@kitkatmarty it does not say the listed strings of words are exhaustive or that they must be matched exactly. It's really just common sense that the mention of UAOs is what this market was about. Resolving NO would be ridiculous.

predicted NO

@Odoacre I just read the description again and it clearly says if mentions,

And ending with; or aliens.

If it was ending with; or synonyms

Then it would be different,

"Unidentified Aerial Object"

or

"UAO"

Is not in list of strings.

There is definitely an ambiguity but I believe because a limited list of strings was provided it should be the clarity on what this markets resolve.

if in February 2023 President Biden mentions:

"UFO",
"UAP",
"unidentified flying object",
"unidentified aerial phenomenon", or
"aliens",

predicted NO

@Odoacre Also the OP previously answered you this: To be honest - I'm not sure. Biden didn't mention any of the listed words exactly...

predicted YES

@kitkatmarty so by this reasoning if Biden had said an he had been contacted by an alien, singular, you would still have pressed for NO on the ground it's not "aliens", plural.

UFO, UAP, UAO, it's the same thing.

How sad that we are even quibbling about this.

predicted NO

@Odoacre Yes, cause it was not mentioned about synonyms but a list of strings.