Economy 2023: Fed raises rates by more than 0.75 points?
25
232
470
resolved Aug 15
Resolved
YES

This market is part of series of predictions made by Matthew Yglesias. Please check the group to bet on them all.


Matthew Yglesias is a liberal American blogger and journalist who writes about economics and politics. He publishes the Substack newsletter Slow Boring.

Recently he made 10 predictions on economy events, published on
https://www.slowboring.com/p/my-predictions-for-2023:


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@itsTomekK please resolve

predicted YES

@chrisjbillington Thank you, I need to be tagged often to see it

bought Ṁ6,000 of YES

Should this resolve YES now?

In one meeting presumably?

predicted NO

@ahalekelly I am assuming it means the trough-to-peak increase in rates that occurs in 2023. Currently 75bps, so one more needed for a YES.

sold Ṁ501 of NO

@chrisjbillington Oh wow yeah 11% is in line with other markets. It's kind of crazy to me that the markets have this much confidence in no more hikes when the Fed hasn't actually said as such