Here is a market I made to enforce my productivity today:

https://manifold.markets/ithildulin/will-i-be-productive-tomorrow?r=aXRoaWxkdWxpbg

Will I be productive tomorrow?

Resolved YES. The past week I have begun to be very unproductive, often only getting an hour’s work done in almost 6-7 hrs. This is bad, and it is an issue I want to fix before it becomes a habit (I’d also like to correct my general habit of procrastination). So, I will be betting my entire balance…

It worked (thankfully), so I'm trying to continue this but for an entire week. Because a week is a lot longer than a day (7 times longer, in fact) I am loosening the criterion to

• Get all relevant work done

• Don't spend more than 30 consecutive minutes being unproductive before I finish relevant work

• Don't spend more than 60 min total being unproductive before I finish relevant work

These criterion only apply to time in which I don't have a structured activity (school, extracurriculars, etc). In addition, I get three passes; that is, I can fail to achieve one of these bullet points at most three times during the next week and this market will still resolve YES.

I will probably be still betting a lot of mana on this market, though not as much as today. Every day I continue to be productive I'll bet at least 100 mana on YES.

Edit: this market starts Tuesday, May 23 and ends at the end of Monday, May 29. Once again, the day only starts when I wake up in the morning.