Here is a market I made to enforce my productivity today:
https://manifold.markets/ithildulin/will-i-be-productive-tomorrow?r=aXRoaWxkdWxpbg
It worked (thankfully), so I'm trying to continue this but for an entire week. Because a week is a lot longer than a day (7 times longer, in fact) I am loosening the criterion to
Get all relevant work done
Don't spend more than 30 consecutive minutes being unproductive before I finish relevant work
Don't spend more than 60 min total being unproductive before I finish relevant work
These criterion only apply to time in which I don't have a structured activity (school, extracurriculars, etc). In addition, I get three passes; that is, I can fail to achieve one of these bullet points at most three times during the next week and this market will still resolve YES.
I will probably be still betting a lot of mana on this market, though not as much as today. Every day I continue to be productive I'll bet at least 100 mana on YES.
Edit: this market starts Tuesday, May 23 and ends at the end of Monday, May 29. Once again, the day only starts when I wake up in the morning.
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| # | Name | Total profit |
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| 5 | Ṁ10 |
@ithildulin to be fair i was not productive over the weekend (didn't reach my planned goals), but that was due to reasons out of my control (health reasons). so i think the market still resolves YES, as in i was as productive as i could have been
as i continue to pour money into this market i start to doubt my capabilities of being 100% impartial. unfortunately i have no siblings so i cannot turn over authority on this market to someone who'll be able to keep me accountable 24/7.
however i really don't like the feeling of resolving a market that i have tons of mana on, especially since my guidelines are not as black and white as i'd like them to be. if anyone has ideas for how i can keep this more fair, or if anyone would like to volunteer to take control of this market (this would include regularly pestering me + asking me about how much time i've spent being unproductive) to make sure i'm staying on track, lmk
@ithildulin i will amend that if you want to take control of my market you have to 1. be trustworthy enough to me, 2. know me personally (i don't know how i feel about telling strangers details about my daily life), and 3. not be holding extreme amounts of YES shares (if you're holding NO, that just forces me to be more productive to convince you that i deserve the YES resolution)
@ithildulin I can help if u want? If Trent can’t do it for some reason (he’s probably better for this lol). I’d volunteer more for wanting to keep up your productiveness and hopefully help you than for any manifold-related reason. But trent seems like a solid bet!!