Will get resolved YES if Destiny writes and publishes a manifesto publically before March 31st 2024, 23:59.
Will get resolved NO if Destiny does not write and publish a manifesto publically before March 31st 2024, 23:59.
Market will close at 23:59, March 31st, 2024.
I will not trade on this market to ensure an unbiased resolve process. Be aware of other similar markets, where the creator trades and has a subjective resolve process.
Edit:
If Destiny calls it a manifesto, it's a manifesto.
If the community calls it a manifesto and it quickly gets a name similar to the "N-word Manifesto" like e.g. "The Mr. Girl Manifesto", it's a manifesto. Even if Destiny explicitly says it is not a manifesto but the community calls it a manifesto, it's a manifesto.
If neither Destiny or the community call it a manifesto, then it's not a manifesto.
To ensure that there is enough time for the community to "come up" with a name for the publication, I will close the market as soon as I hear about it. Then I will wait 1 week to resolve.
I am active on the subreddit and watch the streams/videos. I will resolve accordingly.
Disclaimer: My subjective experience about the name of the publication will be the deciding factor. Any posts/comments on Manifold will not affect my decision. You can however discuss the rules and I may be convinced to alter them.
Related questions
🏅 Top traders
| # | Name | Total profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ṁ618 | |
| 2 | Ṁ270 | |
| 3 | Ṁ224 | |
| 4 | Ṁ209 | |
| 5 | Ṁ193 |
@SirSalty There was no manifesto in this quarter. Destiny wrote a blog post about Canadce Owens, but barely anybody called it a manifesto. So I definitely don't think that one should count.
(Disclaimer: I have 2k No shares)
@Agh ok I'll resolve No but if anyone presents compelling evidence in the next couple weeks that there was a manifesto I might change it