Will there be a marriage between a TKS'er and a Thiel Fellow sometime before 2030?
3
120Ṁ202031
54%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000People are also trading
Related questions
Will any Caltech students become a Thiel Fellow by EOY2030?
49% chance
Will Jose Luis Ricon enter a serious long-term relationship with a Thiel Fellow by 2033?
41% chance
Will at least 50 percent of the inaugural thiel fellowship cohort get married by EOY 2027
50% chance
Will an Atlas Fellow become a Thiel Fellow by 2027?
70% chance
Will anyone from https://www.livetheresidency.com/ win the Thiel Fellowship in 2026?
64% chance
Will Aiden Kim be a Thiel Fellow before 2028?
40% chance
Will any TKS/The Knowledge Society alumni have kids by EOY 2026?
72% chance
Will Kai Goodall become thiel fellow?
50% chance
Will any Edge Esmeralda fellow become Thiel Fellow by EOY2028?
48% chance
Will Gwern end up in a relationship (or fall in love) with a thiel fellow?
30% chance