Will a research study be done showing % microplastic composition of bowhead whale brain by EOY2029?
Will a research study be done showing % microplastic composition of bowhead whale brain by EOY2029?
0
1002030
50%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
1,000What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Or create your own play-money betting market on any question you care about.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like betting still use Manifold to get reliable news.
Why use play money?
Why use play money?Mana (Ṁ) is the play-money currency used to bet on Manifold. It cannot be converted to cash. All users start with Ṁ1,000 for free.
Play money means it's much easier for anyone anywhere in the world to get started and try out forecasting without any risk. It also means there's more freedom to create and bet on any type of question.
Related questions
What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Or create your own play-money betting market on any question you care about.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like betting still use Manifold to get reliable news.
Why use play money?
Why use play money?Mana (Ṁ) is the play-money currency used to bet on Manifold. It cannot be converted to cash. All users start with Ṁ1,000 for free.
Play money means it's much easier for anyone anywhere in the world to get started and try out forecasting without any risk. It also means there's more freedom to create and bet on any type of question.
Related questions
Will a study on the relationship between food intake and blood/tissue sample microplastic concentration exist by EOY2027
61% chance
Will there be a paper on microplastic levels in PARROTS OR PENGUINS BY EOY 2027
51% chance
Will consumerreports start measuring food microplastics by EOY2026
52% chance
Will isaak freeman take a blood/tissue sample test for microplastics by EOY 2029?
50% chance
Will an academic paper on tFUS and microplastic clearance/absorption be written by EOY2030?
50% chance
Will Jim o'neill prefrontal cortex have more than 1 percent microplastics by weight by 2030?
33% chance
Will ed boyden prefrontal cortex turn into more than 1 percent microplastics by weight by 2030?
39% chance
Will Nathan Cheng get blood microplastic testing by EOY 2028?
50% chance
Will a study be done comparing blood/tissue microplastics lvls of frequent coffee drinkers vs "normal people" by EOY2027
76% chance
Will there be a consumer device to detect and measure microplastics under <$300 by the end of 2025?
30% chance