Will I think that a model or service I try is good enough to write my blog from my notes before the end of the year?
4
1kṀ134
2026
44%
chance

I write a blog at https://inaimathi.ca/. Currently, I write it manually, but I've been experimenting with having various models take my notes as input and generating the final prose. As of the writing of this question, I don't think any of them are (though they're getting relatively close at much lower polishing effort).

  • I'm not principally against using LLMs to accelerate work, and I regularly use them to generate code. Variously in snippet, file and project-sized chunks.

  • I haven't put serious development/prompt-engineering/research time into having them perform better for blog purposes, and don't intend to (but if you reply to this market with a technique I could apply in under ~30-45 minutes of high-attention time, I will very probably try it out)

  • My main current problem is the tone. In particular, model outputs are more corporate and less sweary than my actual writing in a vague way that I can't put my finger on.

  • I'm a tinkerer, so I'll try any model I can stand up locally via ollama or huggingface. I'll also count Anthropic or OpenAI models, if they hit the target.

  • I probably won't count ChatGPT Pro (which I will not pay for unless it gets cheaper or more generally useful, or starts including unlimited API access)

  • I probably won't count GrokAI unless it becomes available outside of Twitter/Apple devices (I don't have a Twitter account and never will, and I'm a linux user who pilots only framework/lenovo machines).

Given all of the above: by Dec 31st 2025, will I think that a model is good enough to write my blog for me from notes?

Resolves YES if at some point before the end of 2025, I start consistently posting (explicitly labelled) AI expansions of my notes as blog content instead of hand-written prose on https://inaimathi.ca/.

Resolves YES if at some point before the end of 2025, I start consistently posting (explicitly labelled) AI expansions of my notes alongside the original notes instead of hand-written prose on https://inaimathi.ca/.

Resolves NO on Dec 31st 2025 if I'm consistently still writing the final blog content by hand and/or just posting notes without accompanying AI expansion.

(The resolution criteria specifies content I post at https://inaimathi.ca/ because my blog and accompanying notes/history is also technically available at https://github.com/inaimathi/langnostic, where I might start posting experimental expansions of my notes for future comparison, but I won't count that as resolving this question).

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