Jelle's Marble Runs is a YouTube channel that produces sport parodies involving marbles, with a kayfabe in which the commentator (Greg Woods) and fans pretend that the marbles are sentient athletes. Sand Marble Rally is a long-running series - this is the seventh season - where the marbles roll on an outdoor track made of sand (or snow, sometimes). Which marble athlete will win the most points? Bet! (Ties broken by position countback - most golds, then most silvers, then most bronzes, etc.)
As I create this, Round 5 (of 10) was just released on July 17th. The final round is expected to release on August 3rd. Please check the current standings at the end of the most recent video or on the wiki before betting: it's not random chance, since some rounds have already been played!
This is a trial run to see if there's interest in betting on Jelle's Marble Runs - I plan to run a question on future JMR series this year (Marbula One, Marble League, etc) but I simply forgot to create one for this until now! Sorry 😭
Season 6 also had a Manifold question - for those results, look here.
@Stralor i have a couple ideas for markets but when the time comes we can hash this out over discord or something. right now my plan is to have M1 markets for winning team and winning individual, + ML markets for winning team and winning showdown, and potentially a market on which teams will qualify for ML?
new sim (n=250,000)
Reflektor - 36%
Blue Moon - 26%
Dragon's Egg - 13%
Blizzard Blaster - 6.1%
Crazy Cat's Eye - 5.3%
Ducktape - 2.9%
Pollo Loco - 2.9%
Superball - 2.5%
Slimer - 1.5%
[Tie]* - 1.4%
Grasshopper - 1.1%
[Other] - 1.6%
*(Ties are broken by position countback, which I could probably add to my simulation but I'm too lazy to do so.)