Resolution criteria
This market will resolve to "Yes" if credible reports confirm that Ozzy Osbourne's death was the result of assisted euthanasia. If no such reports emerge by market expiry, it will resolve to "No." Verification will be based on reputable news sources and official statements.
Background
Ozzy Osbourne, the iconic lead singer of Black Sabbath, passed away on July 22, 2025, at the age of 76. His family confirmed he was surrounded by loved ones at the time of his death. (apnews.com)
In 2007, Sharon Osbourne revealed that she and Ozzy had a mutual agreement to seek assisted suicide in Switzerland if either suffered from a debilitating illness affecting their mental faculties. This pact was reaffirmed in subsequent years, including in 2023. (people.com)
Considerations
As of now, there are no public reports indicating that Ozzy Osbourne's death was due to assisted euthanasia. The family's statement did not specify the cause of death. Given the Osbournes' previous discussions about assisted suicide, speculation may arise, but without concrete evidence, such claims remain unsubstantiated.
🏅 Top traders
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1 | Ṁ251 | |
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3 | Ṁ211 | |
4 | Ṁ171 | |
5 | Ṁ121 |
my brother have you seen the setlist?

@AlexSimonelis in two years. It's not like you bet real money, don't you know how Manifold works? If anything comes up it will be evaluated by me, and if there's disagreement mods will intervene.
@ikoukas I know, I still think that the odds are small given that family members stated that he was not in a agonizing state despite his condition. However, there is a lot of uncertainty.