I'm thinking along the lines of a DNA test or other definitive official documentation.
Feb 10, 10:08pm: Will definitive evidence emerge that Justin Trudeau’s son is actually Fidel Castro’s biological son? → Will definitive evidence emerge that Justin Trudeau is actually Fidel Castro’s biological son?
@firstuserhere It seems too high for me. After a quick search on the internet, all I'm getting is a bunch of conspiracy websites claiming this. Is there a credible source for this that people are considering when forecasting this?
@Nikola https://www.snopes.com/fact-check/justin-trudeau-is-fidel-castros-love-child/ snopes seems to think this is false
@JohnHoeksema that's what loans do! You get 2%(?) of your money back daily so that you can invest in long term markets and still have some Ṁ
@firstuserhere ooh how does that work? do certain questions auto-loan Ṁ after bets to incentivize betting?
@JohnHoeksema I believe it is for all the markets, at midnight, you get back 2% of the total amount that you've invested.
From manifold's description example:
For example, if you bet Ṁ1000 on "Will I become a millionare?", you will get Ṁ20 back tomorrow.Previous loans count against your total bet amount. So on the next day, you would get back 2% of Ṁ(1000 - 20) =Ṁ19.6.
@ian Holy shit that is EVEN BETTER!!! Perhaps it would make the "black face" scandel less of a big deal lol.