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MANIFOLD
Will Brooke be up for tweeting about manifest from the manifold account for $$?
11
Ṁ230Ṁ1.2k
resolved Oct 4
Resolved
N/A

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predictedYES

Resolved NA due to unclear resolution criteria. For the record she was 'up' for doing this, but doesn't have enough free time to actually send the tweets.

@ian Thanks, I've put down my 4:1 odds against at M1000

predictedYES

@Austin oh lol I misremembered that as 1:4 odds

predictedNO

@ian sounds like we had a lot of disagreement lol

@Austin Just sent her a DM on discord

predictedNO

@ian yeah Brooke's a no 😕

predictedYES

@Austin Lol, she just replied to me and said maybe? Not sure what she told you, then.

predictedYES

@Austin I think this was misresolved, she responded to me: "... i'm interested but can't commit time until this weekend most likely".
I'm probably going to unresolve and resolve yes, then if you've no objections.

predictedNO

@ian yeah that's what she told me too, which I interpreted as a NO. I guess -- I would only consider this a YES if she actually literally sends a tweet from our account, not "she's interested but doesn't actually do it for some other reason"; probably a thing we should have clarified first :P

predictedNO

[Austin] Hey - we realized we wanted to do some post-event promotion of Manifest on our official Twitter account, eg posting out some photos, telling some stories of the event, highlighting some things to the broader world that might otherwise not have been known; ideally, relatively soon while the event is fresh. The awkward thing is David is typically our guy for this, but he's also on a 12h flight. Was wondering if you know someone (or if you yourself?) who might be good at this kind of "social media marketing". fwiw my model is that you yourself wouldn't be interested, but the rest of Manifold team thought I should check anyways

[brooke]

oh gosh yeah hmmm i think under normal circumstances i could potentially be up for it but had several other things come up today and am feeling like i need to do some culling to protect my bandwidth

I'll rack my brain and try to think of an attendee who might be good for that!

predictedNO

@ian planning on letting us adjust bets based on new info, or locked into the decisions we made after Austin's original declaration?

predictedYES

@Stralor I think as long as @Austin and I agree that if she tweets for us this is a yes? I’m not sure of the cutoff, however. I would guess like in the next 3 weeks.

predictedYES

@ian I mean, I’d like to clarify resolution criteria before opening it up again

predictedNO

@ian gotcha!

predictedYES

@Austin So should this just resolve NA? Given we had different interpretations of 'up for tweeting from the manifold account'. I didn't require that she sends a tweet, just that she'd be willing to do it, whereas you required a tweet to be sent.