SEC wins 3 or more charges in case against Coinbase
11
90
230
2031
15%
chance

SEC has charged Coinbase with 5 different offenses, including operating an unregistered securities exchange, and offering unregistered securities to the public. https://www.sec.gov/litigation/complaints/2023/comp-pr2023-102.pdf, https://slate.com/technology/2023/06/coinbase-binance-sec-cryptocurrency-securities-law-crackdown.html

Resolves YES if the SEC wins 3 or more of the 5 charges it filed against Coinbase, or if Coinbase settles with terms that indicate a substantial concession, for example, a payout greater than $100 million and an agreement to not sell to US consumers, or something along those lines.

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