Another American cartel leader killed/captured before end of march?

Question

https://x.com/mattwallace888/status/2025646879107903596?s=46

The market encompasses all of the Americas (not just the United States).

A cartel boss is:

A #1 member of any cartel sufficiently notable to have a Wikipedia page, OR

Someone with a bounty of ≥$1 million

Ultimately up to my discretion if seems like a big deal but doesn’t fit in the above two points

Manifold Markets · Answer

Probably not — Manifold Markets prediction market estimates a 22% chance (95 traders, as of Mar 16, 2026).

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