Will there be a new pope elected by the 17th of December 2024?
57
1kṀ18kresolved Dec 20
Resolved
NO1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Pope Francis is 86 years old at the moment and would be 88 years old on the 17th of December 2024. He seems to be in good health exept impaired mobility coused by pain in his right knee.
Resolves YES if a new pope is elected by the 17th of December 2024. NO if the succesor of pope Francis has not been by the 17th of December 2024.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000🏅 Top traders
| # | Name | Total profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ṁ550 | |
| 2 | Ṁ163 | |
| 3 | Ṁ114 | |
| 4 | Ṁ113 | |
| 5 | Ṁ96 |
People are also trading
New Pope named Time's Person of the Year in 2025?
26% chance
Will the next pope visit the United States by the end of 2025?
80% chance
Will the next Pope last until the end of Trump's 2nd term?
95% chance
Which country will the next Pope following Pope Leo XIV be from?
Will the next pope visit the United States by the end of 2026?
81% chance
Will the next Pope reign for at least 1 year?
96% chance
In which month of 2025 new pope will be elected?
Sort by:
People are also trading
Related questions
New Pope named Time's Person of the Year in 2025?
26% chance
Will the next pope visit the United States by the end of 2025?
80% chance
Will the next Pope last until the end of Trump's 2nd term?
95% chance
Which country will the next Pope following Pope Leo XIV be from?
Will the next pope visit the United States by the end of 2026?
81% chance
Will the next Pope reign for at least 1 year?
96% chance
In which month of 2025 new pope will be elected?