Will there be a new pope elected by the 17th of December 2024?
52
976
980
Dec 16
10%
chance

Pope Francis is 86 years old at the moment and would be 88 years old on the 17th of December 2024. He seems to be in good health exept impaired mobility coused by pain in his right knee.

Resolves YES if a new pope is elected by the 17th of December 2024. NO if the succesor of pope Francis has not been by the 17th of December 2024.

pope francis resigning
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bought Ṁ10 of NO

@humblestumble Your description is incorrect; on 17 Dec 2026 he would be 90, not 88.

predicts YES

@ForrestTaylor Good spot, Corrected