Will there be a supersonic Trans-Pacific flight commercially available by the end of 2040?
2
100Ṁ352041
64%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Will resolve to yes if there are tickets available for flights that cross a meaningful amount of the Pacific Ocean at speeds greater than the speed of sound (767 mph).
The definition of flight is left intentionally broad. Rockets would count as flying - boats would not.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000People are also trading
Related questions
Will a supersonic plane fly commercial passengers by 2030?
24% chance
Commercial supersonic flights by the end of 2030?
17% chance
Will Boom Supersonic have their first commercial supersonic flight by the end of 2030?
16% chance
Will regularly-scheduled supersonic flights operate between Los Angeles and Tokyo in 2050?
47% chance
Will a commercial non-stop flight between Asia and South America exist before the end of 2030?
55% chance
Will supersonic jets be accessible for civilian travel by 2029?
31% chance
Will there be a successful test of a hypersonic commercial air travel system before 2030?
61% chance
Will there be nuclear powered supersonic airplanes by 2100?
10% chance
Will a commercial non-stop flight between Shanghai and Sao Paolo exist before the end of 2030?
55% chance
Which will be the next airline to operate a supersonic airliner?