Which team will win the NBA Finals 2022?
Plus
40
Ṁ110kresolved Jun 17
100%99.6%
Golden State Warriors
0.0%Other
0.2%
Boston Celtics
0.0%
Phoenix Suns
0.0%
Milwaukee Bucks
0.0%
Denver Nuggets
0.0%
Miami Heat
0.0%
Utah Jazz
0.0%
Memphis Grizzlies
0.0%
Philadelphia 76ers
0.0%
Dallas Mavericks
0.0%
Brooklyn Nets
0.0%
Los Angeles Clippers
0.0%
Minnesota Timberwolves
0.0%
Atlanta Hawks
Resolved according to https://www.espn.com/nba/ or a similar main sports website.
If for some reason there are no 2022 NBA Finals, this is resolved to PROB at the end of 2022. (This also includes if a champion is declared without any NBA Finals being played, e. g. via an armchair decision. If any amount of actual NBA Finals basketball is played and a winning team is declared following that, I will resolve to that team.)
Close date updated to 2022-06-01 11:59 pm
Mar 28, 10:41am: Duplicate to https://manifold.markets/dglid/who-will-win-the-nba-finals-champio
Close date updated to 2022-06-20 11:59 pm
Jun 9, 9:08am: Market for 2023: https://manifold.markets/howtodowtle/which-team-will-win-the-nba-finals-648f3fcc1f2e
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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Follow-up market for 2023: https://manifold.markets/howtodowtle/which-team-will-win-the-nba-finals-648f3fcc1f2e
@howtodowtle I know nothing about sports and don't follow them but this seems way more imbalanced than the Betfair odds (https://www.betfair.com/exchange/plus/basketball/market/1.185520271).
@StephenMalina It seems like betting odds are (over-)favoring the Warriors--but they also factor in public sentiment. On the other hand, predictive forecasts strongly favor (60 to 80 % winning probabilities) the Celtics. I believe the "true probabilities" are somewhere in the middle. And I agree that at current odds (74 % Celtics, 25 % Warriors), the Warriors are the better bet.