Will 'Dune: Part Two' (2024) gross >$85M on its domestic opening weekend?
Mini
54
16k
resolved Mar 5
Resolved
NO

Resolves YES if 'Dune: Part Two' (2024) grosses more than $85,000,000 domestically on its opening weekend. Resolves NO otherwise.

The "Domestic Opening" number on https://www.boxofficemojo.com/title/tt15239678/ will be used to resolve this market.

Other details:

  • I will use the "Domestic Opening" listed on BoxOfficeMojo, however it is defined. For a concrete example, the "Domestic Opening" for "Oppenheimer" would have been $82,455,420.

  • For context, AFAIK, typically that "Domestic Opening" number is the 3-day total (plus Thursday previews) for North America (e.g. it wouldn't include a holiday Monday). But that's just my informal understanding, not a rule for resolution—I will use their "Domestic Opening", however they calculate it.

  • The market will resolve once the opening weekend values are finalized, which may be before the question closing date. If BoxOfficeMojo does not cite a number by the closing date, I will use an alternative source.

  • I may choose to trade in my own markets if they have clear, objective resolution criteria (like this one).

  • If any aspects of the resolution criteria are unclear, please ask.

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