Background Following Jimmy Carter's death on December 29, 2024, President Biden ordered flags to be flown at half-staff for the traditional 30-day mourning period, which extends until January 28, 2025. Trump's inauguration is scheduled for January 20, 2025, during this mourning period. Trump has made public comments expressing dissatisfaction about having flags at half-staff during his inauguration.

Resolution Criteria This market will resolve as YES if Donald Trump, after taking office on January 20, 2025, issues an order to raise any flags to full-mast before January 28, 2025 (the end of Carter's 30-day mourning period). The market will resolve as NO if flags remain at half-staff through January 28, 2025.

Considerations

• While the President has the authority to modify flag protocols, such changes during a former president's mourning period would be unprecedented

• The resolution will be based on official White House proclamations or verified changes to flag positions at federal buildings

• The U.S. flag being flown at full-mast on any federal building for at least one day before the end of Jimmy Carter's 30-day mourning period, at the credibly reported direction of Donald Trump (or any of his subordinates), will qualify as a YES.